Putting the Tariff Selloff into Perspective

Markets have turned volatile following the announcement of sweeping new tariffs. While sharp selloffs can feel unsettling, especially when headlines dominate the narrative, it’s important to zoom out. Here are a few points to help put the tariff selloff into perspective.

1. Trump signals willingness to negotiate

Tariff announcements are often confusing—and this time is no different. Despite multiple White House aides insisting the new tariffs were not meant as a negotiating tactic, Trump has now said he’s open to tariff talks with other countries—if they offer “something phenomenal”. 

This suggests tariffs are being used as a negotiation tool rather than a fixed policy outcome

2. Markets have seen this before 

The 2018–2019 trade war with China caused sharp market volatility—but once uncertainty settled, markets rebounded. Over the long term, corporate earnings remain the key driver of equity performance, not short-term headlines.

Source: FactSet, MSCI, Standard & Poor’s, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Returns are total returns in USD. Global equities return is based on MSCI All Country Index. US equities return is based on S&P 500 Index.  Chinese equities return is based on the MSCI China index. As of 31 December 2024.

3. Fear is high—but that may be a signal

According to CNN Fear and Greed Index, the market is now in “Extreme fear” mode. While sentiment indicators don’t predict future prices, they often reflect emotional extremes—a classic contrarian signal for long-term investors.

Source: CNN Fear and Greed Index, 3 April 2025 

4. It is never a good idea to “panic sell” 

Selling in a downturn often means missing the rebound. In fact, 50% of the market’s best days occur during bear markets. Missing the 10 best days over the last 30 years would have cut your returns by half; missing the best 30 days would slash returns by a staggering 83%.

Source: Ned Davis Research, Morningstar, and Harford Funds, Jan 2024  

5. Not all assets react the same

While US equities saw sharp declines, other asset classes held up better. Global bonds and gold delivered strong performance amid the volatility, highlighting the importance of diversification.

3 April ReturnYTD Return
Global Bonds1.4%4.5%
Gold-0.6%18.3%
China Equities-1.6%14.0%
Europe Equities-2.5%8.9%
Japan Equities-2.8%-12.1%
Global Equities-3.4%-3.6%
US Equities-4.8%-7.9%
Bitcoin-5.4%-12.3%
Source: Bloomberg. Returns in USD. 3 April 2025. 

What Should You Do Now? 

✅ Keep emotions in check

Don’t let fear drive decisions—stay invested, time in the market beats timing.

✅ Review your investment portfolio

Reassess goals and rebalance exposure; diversify beyond growth stocks into global strategies like Equity100, or strategies with downside protection like Protected Portfolio.  

✅ Use the sell-off to your advantage

Market dips reset valuations of equities —consider investing extra cash or dollar-cost averaging over time.

Diversify by investing in bonds

Bonds provide diversification and steady income. Currently, bonds offer attractive yields. For instance, yield-to-maturity of Income+ Preserve and Enhance stands at 6.5% and 7.0% respectively.

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